The requests for bids for the 2020 Republican National Convention and Democratic National Convention are expected to be sent out to cities in late 2017 or early 2018, and there’s already speculation that Indianapolis will be a heavyweight contender for either convention.

If Republicans and Democrats come calling on Indianapolis—as expected—to host their 2020 national political conventions, they’re likely to get the same answers they got for 2016.

That answer: Thanks, but no thanks. That doesn’t mean city officials wouldn’t give either bid serious consideration. But recent history gives heavy hints as to how this would end.