Republicans have all but officially decided to hold their convention the week before or the week after July 4, two months earlier than last time. The move is part of an effort to shorten the potential nastiness of the primary season (fewer debates are also part of the strategy) and to take fuller advantage of campaign finance law, which says only the formally nominated candidate may spend funds earmarked for the general election campaign.
[The Democrats] will have their convention after the Republicans — the last-word advantage customarily awarded to the party in the White House — but almost certainly before the summer Olympics open on Aug. 5 in Rio de Janeiro. The Republican and Democratic national committees won’t formally put the conventions out to bid before January, and they’re unlikely to announce the winners before the midterm elections. -Roll Call
We’re still not convinced the GOP will do their convention that early. In 2012, there were major primaries on June 5th in CA, NJ, SD and NM, and other caucuses and primaries until June 26.
Again, recall that the Republican autopsy of the 2012 election and the primary process — the Growth and Opportunity Project Report — mentioned that a nominee needs “an estimated 60-90 days to prepare for the Convention”. That is, there should be 60-90 days between the conclusion of the delegate selection process and any subsequent national convention. Even a late June convention means that delegate selection will have had to run its course in all states two to three months in advance. In the best case — 60 day — scenario, that’s some time in April.
You think Democratic California’s going to move their primary to help the GOP out? Not likely.
Now to the Democrats. Look, there have been recent successful Democratic conventions in both July and later August. In July 1992, Clinton and Gore stormed out of NYC on a very successful bus tour through the swing state. And of course in 2008, Obama’s Denver convention was a winner.
But to me, 1988 still haunts the Democrats. Dukakis had an excellent convention in Atlanta, but he lost whatever momentum he had throughout the summer.
But let’s get real. Until she decides she’s not running, Hillary Clinton’s team gets to sign off on any decision. And if she run